Record 8-12-2 (-4.8u)
I whipped up a massive board. Simple and to the point. I know this is going to blow up in my face. I know I am way in over my head after winning one week, but here we are. Too many plays I love for me to pass up. I realized I picked all favs and I am a pussy for that but fuck it. Love is love and I love what I love on this board. Can’t wait for Saturday. Can’t fucking wait.
Lock: FSU -1.5 vs Clemson 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
FSU is the better team and I am not going to over think this one. I saw enough Clemson in that loss to Duke and they are not good. FSU is the better team. I know this line makes no sense and all the money is on FSU but fuck it. I saw FSU against LSU and they are legit. They had their upset scare last week against BC. Now they show up and win in death valley.
Unbiased Stats:
Clemson is 6-12 ATS in their L18 games at home
FSU is 7-1 ATS in their L8 games on the road
Lock: Texas A&M -8 vs Auburn 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is a simple take of Fisher over Freeze. A&M has more talent and they have the better coach and they are playing at home. Fisher can not lose this game. I do not believe in Auburn or Freeze. Give me A&M by two scores.
Unbiased Stats:
Auburn is 1-6 in their L6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 21-4 in their L25 games at home
Lock: Utah -6 vs UCLA 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Utah is a wagon at home. A fucking wagon. They should easily win this by 10+. They have been the most profitable team to bet on for me this season. I trust Johnson or Rising or whoever starts at Utah when it is at home. UCLA still has not lost but they have played fuck all. Utah has played great teams and is undefeated. Give me the Utes at home all day everyday.
Unbiased Stats:
UCLA is 1-5 ATS in their L6 against Utah
Utah is 17-1 in their L18 games at home
Lock: Texas Tech -6 vs West Virginia 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
WVU is going to be hungover from the backyard brawl. They got their win and now it’s time to come back to reality. Texas Tech has not had the best season. They choked against Wyoming but they came back strong against a really good Oregon. They aren’t half bad. They capitalize and get a double digit win against a hungover WVU.
Unbiased Stats:
WVU is 1-4 ATS in their L5 against TTU
TTU is 4-1 ATS in their L5 at WVU
Lock: Maryland -7 vs Michigan State 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I do not really need to explain much with this pick. MSU is a dumpster fire. I have to take anyone who faces them right now especially when the spread is a single digit. Maryland has had a pretty good start to the season. I know they haven’t played much but they are winning and that is all that matters. Let’s run it back against MSU.
Unbiased Stats:
MSU is 4-7-2 ATS in their L13 games
Maryland is 4-2 ATS in their L6 games at MSU
Lock: Colorado TT 23.5
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I mean I have to bet this right? I feel like I have a pretty good understanding of this Colorado team. They can’t play defense. Oregon is going to win this game and I would lean cover too. But I am more comfortable taking Colorado and them only needing 4 TD’s. I know Hunter is out but they still have a lot of weapons on offense. Even if it’s a blowout I think that Colorado and Sanders are going to stat pad late and score some TD’s.
Unbiased Stats:
The total has gone over in Oregon’s 8/L11 home games
The total has gone over in Colorado’s 4/L6 games at Oregon
Lock: UNC -7.5 vs Pitt 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Same as the WVU pick. Pitt is going to be asleep. I love UNC this year. They got the W last week and they are going to win by 2+ scores this week. They cover Saturday and it is that simple.
Unbiased Stats:
Pitt is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home
UNC is 5-0 in their last 5 games on the road
Lock: USC/ASU U62.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is a look ahead spot for USC. They play Colorado next week. They are coming off of a bye so they should be a little sluggish. When you bet an under in a USC game you are essentially betting against USC. I am too scared to bet ASU but I do feel this is a closer lower scoring game.
Unbiased Stats:
The total has gone under in ASU’s 4/L5 home games
The total has gone under in USC’s 1/L1
