Record 18-17-2 (-0.8u)
Lock: A.J. Brown O68.5 yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Love this one. I got it early at 68.5 because it’s now 70 and it should be higher. I think Brown gets in the triple digits. The Bucs defense is not the best passing defense. Moore and Jefferson both got 100+ yards on them and Brown should too. Brown had a bit of a problem last game so I expect them to game plan more for him to keep him happy on the sideline. He said it wasn’t about targets which means it was forsure about targets. I love this play. I learned this weekend that no matter what defenses do these elite WR’s will get the ball no matter what. Easy yards.
Unbiased Stats:
O68.5 yards in 11/17 regular season games in 22/23
25% target share L10
15.4 YPR L10 / 5.1 RPG L10 / 8.7 TPG L10
Lock: Rams/Bengals U45 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I think this is a classic primetime game. This matchup is very strange. Rams are coming off a horrendous season and have looked I guess average so far this season? It is still very tough to say what this team is. The Bengals are still dealing with Burrows preseason injury and have yet to win a game. He is questionable for tonights game and if he starts I expect a lot of runs and time off the clock. I am predicting another boring primetime game and that is what I am hoping for.
Unbiased Stats:
Total has gone under in Rams at Bengals in 5/L6
Total has gone under in Bengals 8/L9 September games
Total has gone under in Rams/Bengals 6/L6
