Record: 20-18 (0 units)
Sticking with the same mentality as last week. I know ball. It showed last week. Hopefully I have beaten the code and I have found a winning way. I am not in love with this board as I was last week but I still like a decent amount. Firing from the hip and shooting straight. Hopefully another winning week.
Lock: USC O47.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
My last stand betting on USC/Colorado. I needed one last ride with the both of them. Colorado’s defense is dog shit. I know that for a fact. Oregon, TCU, and CSU did whatever they wanted to them. USC has a better offense compared to all three of those teams. They should be able to hit 50 easy. Caleb is going to go out there and put on a show and really show Boulder what a Heisman QB looks like. USC’s defense is trash too so there should be a lot of big plays and USC should have a lot of chances to score. Fight On!
Unbiased Stats:
USC O47.5 in 3/L4
USC O47.5 in 1/L1 against Colorado
Colorado is ranked 117th worst scoring defense
Lock: Georgia -14 vs Auburn 1u to win 0.8u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
After watching Auburn last week they are bad. Freeze looks lost. They have 0 offense. Georgia is going to come in and put on a show. They should win this game by 3+ TD’s. Georgia has yet to cover which only means they have to this game. They come out hot and control the entire game from start to finish. Georgia is the number 1 team in the nation and they show why they are by dominating a shitty SEC team.
Unbiased Stats:
Georgia is 6-0 ATS in L6 against Auburn
Georgia is 6-1 ATS in L7 against SEC West
Auburn is 1-9 ATS in L10 played in September
Lock: Nebraska +18 vs Michigan 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Michigan does not cover and I do not trust them. Memorial Stadium should be rocking tomorrow and I think Rhule finds a way to keep this game close. Michigan has been winning games but they have been keeping teams in the game. This is a new Nebraska and is a changed team from where they were against Colorado. Love this one to be close.
Unbiased Stats:
Nebraska is 4-2 ATS in L6
Nebraska is 12-5 ATS in L17 when playing as the underdog
Michigan are 0-4-1 ATS in L5
Lock: LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Another head coaching and situational spot I love. Kelly will outplay Kiffin. Kiffin threw all he had in last week’s game at Alabama. They lost and they were let down once again. Now Kelly comes in and beats them at home. LSU got their ass kicked Week 1 but we now know that FSU is pretty fucking good. LSU has stacked wins since then and has looked better. They come into Ole Miss and get a W.
Unbiased Stats:
LSU is 5-1-1 ATS in L7 against Ole Miss
LSU is 8-1 in L9 against teams in the SEC West
Ole Miss is 1-5 in L6 against teams in the SEC
Ole Miss is 1-5-1 ATS in L7 against teams in the SEC West
Lock: Notre Dame -5.5 vs Duke 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Note Dame is going to come out hot this week. They fucked up last week against OSU. People are saying let down spot. Wrong. Notre Dame is still fucking good. Yea they fucked up with 10 men and had a lot of questionable play calls but they are good. They clean it up this week. They go to Duke and stomp on a much shittier ACC team. Hartman puts on a show and they should easily win and cover this game.
Unbiased Stats:
Notre Dame is 4-1-1 ATS in L6
Notre Dame is 9-0 ATS L9 against teams in the ACC
Duke us 3-7 ATS in L10 played in Week 5
Lock: Iowa -10 vs Michigan State 1u to win 0.8u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
System play. MSU is still bad. Iowa is average. They will cover. I don’t care that they finally officially fired Tucker. MSU still doesn’t have a team and will still feel the effects of what has transpired this season. I know Iowa barely scores but I think they can score enough against a shitty MSU to cover this game at home. I am hoping they can have a little more fire on offense at home.
Unbiased Stats:
Iowa is 7-3 ATS in L10
Iowa is 13-2 in L15 games played in September
MSU is 4-10-1 ATS in L15 against Iowa
MSU is 1-6 in L7 on the road
