Record: 32-27-3 (+1.7 units)
Lock: Christian Watson O47.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
No. 1 receiver below 50 yards. Feed me it. This is the one bet that has been saving me this year. Watson is their No. 1. I know he was out for the first couple weeks but Love likes him. He got some targets last week but now with a week+ they should have a game plan to get him the ball. Watson is a good enough receiver to catch the ball and hit this comfortably. PLP.
Unbiased Stats:
Have allowed 5 WR’s O47.5
Watson O47.5 in 6/L10
Lock: GB/LV U45.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Have to bet the primetime under. It has not won this week which means it is due. Packers have a slow moving offense and the Raiders do too. They both rely heavily on their run game because that’s all they really have. I expect this game to be mistake heavy with a lot of punts and it ends in the 30’s. This is where the primetime under returns.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Las Vegas’ 4/L5
Under in Las Vegas’ 2/L2 at home