Record: 42-33-3 (+5.0 units)
Lock: Ohio State -4.5 vs Penn State 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am taking the Buckeyes. They are at home and they are the true blue blood team in this matchup, they stomp on Penn State. This number opened up at 7 and it should be 7. Ohio State wins by a TD+. They have scraped their way to being undefeated but this is where everything really clicks and they dominate this game from start to finish.
Unbiased Stats:
Penn State is 0-5 in L5 on the road against Ohio State
Ohio State is 16-1 in L17 at home
Ohio State is 12-2-1 ATS in L15 in October.
Lock: Oklahoma State +3 vs West Virginia 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
West Virginia still hasn’t recovered from last week. They had their early run of wins and now the Hail Mary has killed them. I think OSU is battle tested and they have a team that should beat WVU. WVU is done and takes a loss at home.
Unbiased Stats:
West Virginia is 1-4 in L5 played in October
Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in L8 against West Virginia
Oklahoma State is 9-2 ATS in L11 in October
Lock: Alabama -9 vs Tennessee 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Saban revenge. You know the videos of the game last year with Tennessee smoking the cigars and taking down the field goal posts have been on 24/7 in the Bama locker room. They want revenge and they want it to be double digits. Yea this isn’t the normal Alabama team we have seen in the past but I do think they can keep up their outstanding home record. Tennessee has a major scoring problem and Alabama will not allow another loss in Denny his season. Simple as that.
Unbiased Stats:
Tennessee is 0-9 in L9 when on the road against Alabama
Alabama is 14-6 ATS in L20 in October
Alabama is 19-1 in L20 at home
Lock: TTU/BYU O51.5 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Points. Points. Points. TTU can score. BYU can score. TTU allows a lot of points. BYU allows a lot of points. Total is too low. Simple as can be. Do I really need to say anything else?
Unbiased Stats:
Over in 5 of Texas Tech’s L7 in October
Over in 5 of BYU’s L5
Over in 4 of BYU’s L5 against BIG 12
Lock: Michigan State +24.5 vs Michigan 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I just have to do it. I hate myself for doing it but I have to. I have watched too much of both of these teams this season to stay away. MSU fucked me last week and it opened my eyes to thinking this new QB is actually half decent. If they clean up the turnovers and shit play from last week they win. Michigan is due for a real drop off. Add in a rivalry game. Add in a cheating investigation announced during the week. I think 24.5 is wayyyyy to much. It was this or Michigan O34.5. I like this more. MSU please I faded you all year and I will apologize if you keep this one close.
Unbiased Stats:
Michigan is 2-12-1 ATS in L15 against Michigan State
Michigan State is 7-2-1 ATS in L10 played in October
Lock: Clemson -2.5 vs Miami 1u to win 0.9
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Clemson is better. Better coach and more talent. They win this game. Miami is still a mess from not kneeling the ball. They lose another and this time it is at home against a good Clemson. Love it.
Unbiased Stats:
Miami is 4-13 ATS in L17
Miami is 1-9 ATS in L10 against the ACC
Clemson is 7-1 ATS in L8 against Miami
