Record: 109-101-4 (-7.2 units)
Recap:
I finally did it. I finally won one. It was close but that doesn’t matter it won. I was getting ready to bitch and moan after that 1h. Michigan shot 53% in the first 10 minutes and 40% from 3. Wisconsin shot 48% in the first 10 minutes and 50% from 3. I really thought I had done it again. I thought the refs had the over too with 7 fouls against Michigan in the first 10. I had to do what any down bad degenerate would do in that moment. Watch a different game and follow along on the gamecast to change the vibes. I put Alabama/Auburn on to at least have the satisfaction of not picking that under. I couldn’t bare watching Villanova/Xavier because that was an easy, easy under and it made me want to kms. But then the gamecast worked it slowed down late in the 1h. 2h it was up and down and I was surprisingly in it for the last five minutes. I turned it on for that last minute and I got saved and it hit. No foul on that last garbage time Wisconsin 3 and the refs didn’t call the intentional last second foul. Finally a winner. Fucking finally. MOHM worked. I am still stuck but I can still see the light out at least.
Lock:Â UCSD/Hawaii U138 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Under. Under. Under. A typical lighter Thursday board. I looked at the board, I didn’t like the bigger matchups and went with this small one. West coast time so this still counts for a Thursday pick. MOHM. Money for this one is tied with movement. 94% of the money is on the over yet it opened at 139 and I got it at 138 and it moved fast to 137.5. So the money and movement isn’t making sense which I love ✅. I got the movement right and I have a good number ✅. This game is in Hawaii so I am factoring in some jet lag still with UCSD only getting to Hawaii two days ago. Both teams haven’t played in 5 days so I am expecting them to struggle shooting at the start. Both teams also play slow ✅. This matchup has never gone O138. Both teams were hitting this under at a higher rate last year compared to this year ✅. Love all of this. It passes the MOHM. I need this to hit. I need to start a streak. It’s time for run.
Unbiased Stats:
Hawaii at home is under in 7/L11
UCSD U138 in 3/L5
Hawaii/UCSD U138 in 5/L5
