Record: 110-102-4 (-7.3 units)
Recap:
I fucking did it. I finally fucking did it. I won. I won in overtime. I don’t know how but it hit. It was so low in regulation and I then I thought it was in OT. They scored on what felt like every possession in the first three minutes in OT. Then the misses came. I want to thank SDSU for slowing it down. OT is such a weird spot because you need it to be close so they don’t start fouling. I was praying Nevada scored on that last possession and Tre Coleman answered my prayer. Winner. I thought I messed up when VCU/Dayton went under but both thankfully hit. One was a little harder but both winners. Now it’s time to lock in. Winner tomorrow but it’s also time to zero in on the SB. I can’t believe I am in a position to possibly see the Chiefs win 3 SB’s. If you told me this 10 years ago I would have laughed at that possibility. But God did. Mahomes did. All the highlights of this year. And all the highlights and struggles the Chiefs have had the past 25 years will be watched. I so appreciative of this team and this moment. ISWT. Locked in.
Lock:Â UNLV/UNM U153.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Love it. Got the number early because this total will get lower. I am so excited about this game let’s get right into the MOHM. The money is on the under. I am looking at this early but it’s a the under is getting a lot of money compared to the amount of bets ✅. It’s a different occasion than usual. UNM is ranked and at home and UNLV beat them early January. That means both teams know what they are getting. They play some defense ✅. Also, side note UNLV has probably had an interesting week with the SB in town and I think that could definitely play a factor in their preparation. These teams played each other early January and what I found was that the total hit at 156 and both teams shot nearly 50%. These teams average 45% so theres room for regression and UNM made a last second garbage time 3. So when you factor both of those in then I predict this game lands in the 140s ✅. It opened at 154.5 and I got it at 153.5 so it follows my rule of not betting a game where I am getting shafted by 3 points or more because of movement ✅. I also think by tip off this game is close to a 150 line. I like this game. I haven’t had a strong showing on college basketball unders on Saturday so far but this is the moment. I am due for a great weekend. This is going under. This is going under. This is going under. This is going under.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in UNLV/UNM 5/L7
Under in UNLV’s 4/L6 played in February
