Record: 114-104-4 (-5.5 units)
Recap:
That was not it. Siena started hot and absolutely fucked me. Can’t have either team draining 3’s when the total is 125. I called it off with like 8 minutes left in the 2nd and of course it then proceeded to only lose by 3. Fuck me. Typical Friday board where there was only one good game staring me in the face that goes under and then I go and choose an absolute dogshit matchup. Only me. Pain. The fact it was right there too hurts. If Siena didn’t shoot decent in the 1h its an easy winner. But no they fuck me. Pain. I wanted the challenge and it fucked me. Need a good Saturday.
Lock:Â Hawaii/UCSB U141.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Back to the island boys. These teams played each other already. This one goes under again. The money is heavy on the under. The over is getting 53% of the bets ✅. Hawaii is on a road back to back so they are going to be tired and will slow the game down. Both are middle tier Big West teams. They are fighting to stay in the Big West tournament. Competitive means defense ✅. They played a month ago and it went U141. UCSB also shot really well and I expect their fg percentage to come down a bit. These teams are also due to start hitting more of these unders compared to last year ✅. I am getting the line within 2 of the opening line. Simple ✅. This is it though. Hawaii fucked me once and they won’t fuck me again. This goes under. Let’s get hot. Under. Under. Under.
Unbiased Stats:
Hawaii/UCSB U141.5 in 4/L5
UCSB U141.5 in 3/L4
