Lunch Break Lock

Record: 7-4-1 (+2.4 units)

Recap:

That is what I love to see. It didn’t even fucking matter that I messed up the starting pitcher. I mean I almost liked Blalock over Quantrill but I did get shafted by the odds. I got it when Quantrill was starting and with the pitching change it went to plus money. Pfaadt was easy. A clean top of the inning. Then Blalock also had a clean bottom half of the inning. Marte getting injured did help a lot. He popped out pretty far and I think that may have gone out if he didn’t injure his leg. Winner. Another fucking winner. I am feeling it now. That is five in a row. I am getting up there and I am going to keep it going.

Lock: Cardinals/Reds NRFI 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am not second guessing myself on this run. I saw this matchup and I am taking it. Neither team is good in this situation. The Reds are worse in the first inning at home and the Cardinals are not as good on the road. These pitchers are phenomenal in the first inning. This matchup makes too much sense. It almost scares me but I have to take it. It is also not as juiced as I would have predicted but I still love it. I mean these pitchers in the first inning are too good to pass up. I looked at other options on the board but I kept coming back to this one. It is by far the best play on the board. This shit is hitting. I can see the clean inning. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Reds average 0.40 first inning runs at home

Cardinals average 0.44 runs in the first inning away from home

Greene has only allowed 6 runs in 23 first innings this season

Fedde has only allowed 4 runs in 23 first innings this season

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