Record: 9-5-1 (+3.2 units)
Recap:
Winner. I did it again. I am hot. I am not getting hot anymore I am hot. That was easy. First quarter wasn’t super easy but it was still pacing. The Sky being so so so shit won me this bet. They were dogshit and got me this under. I finally capitalized on how bad they are. The Mercury were able to score but it wasn’t terrible since they weren’t letting the Sky get any easy baskets. It was a nice and easy winner. I must say I am feeling great. I feel like I can really find a winner on any board and there is no better feeling. I have it and I won’t lose it.
Lock: Phoenix Mercury U86.5 Points 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is simply too many points for a team playing with zero rest. I know I am going against the same team two days in a row but this line is too perfect to not bet. The Mercury don’t do well in back to backs. This team consists of old heads who don’t have the youthfulness to score a shit ton off of no rest. I love this under. The Mercury also don’t need this game. They are a lock to make the playoffs and got their win yesterday so I don’t see them scrapping for a win here. The Fever didn’t play yesterday and are coming off of their long break so they should be rested and play defense. The Fever are in a good place for the playoffs but aren’t guaranteed in so they still need to win games. I assume they practiced defense during the break as that is their weakness and they show what they worked on today. This under is also not hitting at the rate it did last year which means that it’s time to average out. This total is too high. I am going to enjoy watching great Indiana defense. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Mercury U86.5 in 2/L2 off of 0 days rest
Mercury U86.5 in 6/L6 against the Fever
Mercury average 79.8 points on the road and 8.7 points less on the road this season compared to at home
