Record: 22-13-1 (+6.8 units)
Recap:
Brilliant. Absolutely brilliant. I got a winner and my team won and there is nothing better than that. Boy was that close though. A winner by a fucking inch. Nothing beats this game. Football is the best. It really is the best. It feels even better when you are on the winning side of a close bet and your team wins. I mean I was that close to either having a double winner or double loser because I did not have faith the Chiefs would stop a two point conversion. What a win though. Five in a row and I am in position to get a full week of winners. I am going to get one step closer tomorrow and I may go big on it because it already means so much so why not double up on it. Only if I see something I really like because I don’t want to bullshit anything.
Lock: Green Bay Packers U23.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am not buying the hype on this team. This is coming from someone who was very high on them last year too and hammered their over. I still need to see more out of Love. With a young core and team too I don’t think they have the experience to handle this spot going to Brazil. I love the Eagles this year. I think they will have a much better defense with Fangio at defensive coordinator. I really don’t see Green Bay scoring a lot of points. They are due for some regression this year in the red zone and I think they are going to score more field goals this game than TDs. The Eagles are simply the more experienced team and I think that’s the team that comes out of this weird travel and messy situation on top. The Packers weren’t some juggernaut scoring last year. Every away game last year that they went over this number was either in a dome or against a shit team. The only thing I am worried about is LaFleur could put on a masterclass calling like he did last year week one against the Bears. I am also praying Sirianni doesn’t fuck me like he did last season. I really do love this pick though. I think it is an Eagles blowout. I kept it a one unit play because I reminded myself it is only week one and in a weird spot so I don’t want to blow my load too early in this season. This is going under. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Packers U23.5 in 12/19 last season
Packers U23.5 in 4/6 last season away from home in outdoor stadiums
