Lunch Break Lock

Record: 25-16-1 (+7.4 units)

Recap:

Winner. I mean I am an absolute killer on watching shit I don’t enjoy. That wasn’t the easiest win but it wasn’t the hardest one either. She was hitting her three’s but didn’t play the fourth quarter. She shot 66% and I still won the bet. That is money. It seemed that because the Mystic were so dominant they decided to throw their youngsters out there early and give the future of the team more playing time. She did have a couple fouls but I don’t think that was the reason she didn’t play the fourth quarter. I don’t give a shit though it won and I appreciate whatever the reason was as to why she didn’t play the fourth. I got my get back this bet and I am back to being on one. Winning is the best and I plan to do more of it. I can’t wait for football tomorrow.

Lock: Dalton Kincaid U18.5 Longest Reception 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

Simply too high of a number. I don’t hate Kincaid I just personally think this number is too high. I am getting a young TE who didn’t have a great start in Week 1 who needs a 19+ yard reception. I love it. The Bills built this team in the offseason to run the football and control the game. They aren’t going to be going for these big explosive plays and that means that Kincaid isn’t going to have anything designed in the playbook for him to get 19. I think he has a better game this week compared to last week but I think it’s short receptions for first downs and doesn’t get one over 19. I know Miami isn’t known for their defense but it didn’t look too bad last week. They also held Engram to this under and I expect them to have the same capabilities to do so against Kincaid. I can’t stress enough how I don’t think this team is built to throw the ball for these long completions. We saw it Week 1 with Buffalo running the ball most of the time and they only threw it 23 times. It’s a short week and I think the Bills are going to be sticking to what won them Week 1 and that was running the damn football. Give me this under and give Kincaid all of the short receptions he wants. I love this line and I love this pick. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

U18.5 in 13/18 last season

Average LR was 16.1 last season

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