Lunch Break Lock

Record: 31-22-1 (+8.2 units)

Recap:

Pain. I don’t know what to say about this one. I can’t tell if it was a shit pick or an unlucky pick. He had that look the drive before for another 15 yarder so lean more shit pick. After the 17 yard completion that Burrow should not have thrown he barely sniffed a double digit yard catch. I mean even in garbage time it was check down throws to him for 8-10 yards. It’s a toss up on whether this bet was shit or not. I mean it was right there but that is what this type of bet is its either right there or not. I think I will take a break from the longest reception bets. Although this was a loser it was still a solid weekend in my books. Time to get back this loser though. Fuck.

Lock: Tina Charles U28.5 PRA 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I have nothing. I had to go with the WNBA. The Liberty are going to win this game and they are going to be all over Tina. This line is too high for such an old and washed up player. She barely even played in game one. The Liberty are going for the sweep and they are going to get it against the worst team in the league. Tina is not going to get her shine and she will probably sit for most of the game like she did in game one as well. She hasn’t performed nearly as well away from home this season. I think this line is really just too high. I liked her stats for both unders in points and rebounds and I thought let me just not risk either and take the PRA. She is also averaging 29 minutes so essentially she needs to average a PRA a minute and I don’t think that is going to happen. Give me this under. Get me back on track after the brutal loss yesterday. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Averaging 25 PRA in L20 away from home

Averaging 25.4 PRA in L5

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