Record: 33-22-1 (+10.0 units)
Recap:
Show me the fucking money. 10 units and I want more and more and more. I really thought I was dead with this one. It started off as they all do exactly as I predicted. She couldn’t hit shit in the first half. She finished the first half with 7 PRA and had a -13 +/-. It seemed too perfect and I was never knew it wasn’t going to be this easy. She went off in the third quarter. I thought I was dead because she played the entire quarter and ended at a fucking disastrous 19 PRA. I was fuming because of how bad she was in the first half and she was by far the worst one on the court. It seemed so easy for them to score with Hiedeman on the court instead of her. She got taken out in the fourth because thankfully the Lynx coach finally used her brain and left her out the entire quarter. The Lynx killed the Mercury in the fourth and looked 10x better without Williams on offense. That is an insane win. I feel like I lose those 10/10 times. I always lose when they start great and then get close by the end of it but not his time. I got saved by her not playing in the fourth. It was a rush looking over at the bench after very foul and praying I didn’t see her take off her two towels. I want to thank the Minnesota Head Coach for keeping her out in the final quarter and using her brain and also Sophie Cunningham. Sophie did fire her up in the third quarter but I think the technical kept her out of the fourth so she wouldn’t do anything stupid. Also, Sophie was working the entire game to get every board and didn’t allow any easy shots for assists. It’s also Sophie Cunningham. Winner. That is back to back and now it is time for another three in a row.
Lock: Cowboys/Giants U45.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I couldn’t pass this up. I had to take this. I know it almost looks too easy but it isn’t because the Cowboys defense hasn’t looked great this year. That is until this game. They are going to dominate the Giants on defense. I don’t see how they don’t step on them defensively tonight. This has to be the night they show up against a terrible Giants offense. All they have to do is double Nabers and allow Parsons to get to Jones. It is as simple as that. They have no one on that offense outside of those two. Now for the Cowboys offense. I know they will get at least 3 TD’s but I don’t know if they will get much more after that. The Cowboys struggled last year to score on the road and I think that will happen again tonight. I had been getting a little too cute with longest reception and team totals and I think this is the right play. I don’t know what to expect really on either side of the ball if there is garbage time so I couldn’t take a prop. It was meant to be. I was destined to take this under. Especially after those two high scoring MNF games we are do for nice ole primetime under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴.
Unbiased Stats:
U45.5 in DAL at NYG in 4/L4
Cowboys average 25.7 PPG this season
Cowboys averaged 14.1 less PPG away from home last season
Giants average 15 PPG this season
