Record: 77-62-1 (+12.9 units)
Recap:
Loser. Depressing game. Couldn’t make up the ending to that first half. A successful free kick which hasn’t happened since 1976. I know it got blown out after that but that really changed the game. The terrible late hit call on Herbert on third down in the second half and it was dead. I mean that kick was just a bad omen. I don’t know how I am supposed to factor in a kick that hasn’t happened in almost 50 years. You can’t make up that happening in a game where I had the under. The past two weeks have been really, really depressing. I don’t even know what unders hit because this game was shit. Broncos defense let me down and I am back to being shit and depressed. I really need to get back on another run. Fuck. Fuck. Fuck.
Lock: Indiana/Notre Dame U52 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Not fucking around tonight. One meaningful game on the entire board. The first ever college football playoff game in this new format. It is going to go under. This game is going to be super cold and I think that this being the first playoff game in this type of environment these teams are going to have problems. Indiana could barely put up points against Ohio State and this is a very similar spot. I think the crowd, the weather, and the very talented Notre Dame defense kills Indiana’s offense. As for Notre Dame they haven’t played a decent team since August against Texas A&M. The offense isn’t prepared for a gritty and tough BIG 10 defense. I think that with both of these offenses in this spot and in the cold there is going to be some problems. I think both teams are going to rely heavily on the run and burn a shit ton off of this clock. I trust these defenses to get some stops and this shit goes under. This is also a playoff game so there is no reason now to run up the score late so we should be fine if that were to happen. We are going to get the first ever playoff game in this format to go under. I need this one. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Indiana averages 6.3 points less on the road this season
Notre Dame averages 10 points less at home this season
