Record: 7-11-0 (-4.7 units)
Recap:
Winner. One of the easiest best of my life. He didn’t even make it three innings. He was an absolute joke. The Phillies got to him in the first inning and they got to him in the second inning and he was pulled, and it was perfect. It was glorious. I still cannot for the life of me comprehend why this line was so high and why it was plus money. I can’t believe it was both of these and really it shouldn’t have been either. He has been shit this season and he was going up against the Phillies who absolutely smash the ball. I don’t get it. I guess I don’t have to get it because I fucking won and it was splendid. Sometimes I have to remind myself that this is baseball. I hit on the stats and sometimes we’re going to lose but I can’t let those losses get to me. You play the stats with baseball and that is exactly what I did with Gilbert here. It was perfect. It was needed. But it can’t just be one. I need to go on a long ass fucking run.
Lock: Guardians/Diamondbacks U9 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Same thing as yesterday. Simple bet. A bet that I think the line is too high. I made it clear after the trade deadline that the Diamondbacks are shit and betting against them is a very good idea because they are shit. The Guardians have been struggling to score recently and that shouldn’t change on the road. I trust both pictures enough to keep it lower scoring in the first five earnings. I think situationally this bet makes the most sense. I’m playing the matchup and I’m playing the line. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Guardians/Diamondbacks U9 in 2/L2
Guardians averaging 2 runs in L4