Record: 10-14-0 (-5.0 units)
Recap:
Loser. Killed the run. I had to take it. Looking back I know it cost me, but I don’t know how I ever pass that up. There were other things that I liked, but seeing that line stay the same and staying plus money I just had to take it. Credit it to him he had stuff. He went a full six inning just barely but was putting on a strikeout masterclass. I thought maybe we could get him in the sixth, but he finished it up pretty easily. We just had too many strikeouts and too many one pitch outs and it just wasn’t enough. I think the score also killled us. He was always going six innings in a blowout. I just don’t understand how I can get away from it. The line made me take it. That one was just purely based on the stats. Brutal loss. I hate losing, but I can’t see myself getting away from that one. I had to do it. It sucks it breaks the run, but I like where my mind is at and I have to do it tomorrow. I’m going to get a run going again. Fuck.
Lock: Cam Schlittler U16.5 Outs 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I will not wonder. I will stay true to the stats. The stats point clearly to one bet today. One clear bet that should hit. We are betting against a rookie. A rookie who has only hit over this number once in his career. It’s really as simple as that. I know the Nationals aren’t great but they can still hit the ball. Schlittler isn’t some experienced pitcher so with that said and with this line I have to take it. With the Yankees battling for the playoffs he is also going to be on a short leash. If he gets in trouble I think they pull him quick. Five innings isn’t bad for a rookie. I just can’t have him go a full six. He has only hit this over once in his career and at this price that’s all you really need to know. We start another run here. This is where we go. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U16.5 in 6/L7
U16.5 in 4/L4 at home