Lunch Break Lock

Record: 15-17-1 (-3.5 units)

Recap:

Loser. What a joke. Fucking joke. He was shit and he still hit this over by one fucking strikeout. He went four fucking innings. He had three strikeouts in the first fucking inning. This is the type of shit that really pisses me off. He was shit in the first, and still had three fucking strikeouts. Dumbass Orioles. He was shit, but the Orioles were even shittier. Jackson Holiday that fucking bum. How the fuck do you have two strikeouts in the first two innings? Of course the fucker got two hits later in the game too. Such fucking bullshit. I should’ve just went outs. I think I’m officially retired on strikeouts. They are too shit to bet on. I mean he was shit and I still lost. So fucking atrocious and the fucking ump was shit too. If Jackson Holliday lays off the 3-2 count ball two feet off the zone on the first strike out this shit hits. If we get one good call by this dog shit ump this shit hits. Brutal fucking brutal . The stats were there and I just got fucked. So fucking brutal. It really hurt watching it and him be so shit And yet this still fucking hit. Fucking hell.

Lock: Josh Bell U1.5 H+R+RBI 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

Do not fight the stats. Do not fight the stats. Do not fight the stats. I have to remind myself that stats work after what happened yesterday. We are betting early and we are obviously betting with the stats. Josh Bell has been horrendous these last few games and cannot hit the ball. That shouldn’t change here in the first game of the day. This is a true lunch break lock. He didn’t get a hit last time he faced Perez. I went back and I looked at the bats and they were pretty standard so today should be no different. Bell cannot hit the ball. It’s really as simple as that. He hasn’t been hitting the ball recently and that’s not going to change today. Bell is going to pull through again here and we are going to get back on the board. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴

Unbiased Stats:

U1.5 H+R+RBI in 9/L10

U1.5 H+R+RBI in 8/L10 at home