Record: 131-137-6 (-21.8 units)
Recap:
Win. That’s a fucking win. That’s how it is done. You fade basketball and you go to the ice. Did the ice break my heart last year? Yes. I didn’t let it get to me and I trusted it. It’s just so much better than the NBA for Game 7’s. The NBA Game 7 unders got rinsed this round. I got fucked by it yesterday and I smartly stayed away today. Massive play and genius move by me. This game hit all because of Montreal’s defense but more importantly their goalie Dobes for being an absolute monster. He saved everything and he saved my under. We had a goal to spare but it was tight after the Canadiens goal because of the Lightning’s pressure and they were the team that could tie it and force the push. Thankfully Montreal did a great job of sitting on the lead and Dobes continued the lock down and we hit. A little sketchy with some empty netters that could make things interesting but we had some great saves and it was nice. Montreal pulled it off with very little offense and it was perfect. We trusted the ice and the pressure and the defense and we got there. Honestly, I don’t know more of a lock for an under than NHL Game 7’s they are just so nice. Now I have to have more.
Lock: Joel Embiid U26.5 Points 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Here we go back to the hardwood. We are in to the Conference Semi Finals and I am back to the props. I have my prop. I have my prop and as I am writing this he is playing. He is on the injury report but I still got his line. If he doesn’t play then it is what it is. I had to take this spot. So who am I betting against? Of course, it’s Embiid. I guess it is big game hunting? It feels like it’s more hunting an Elephant where it’s pretty fucking simple since he can’t move and isn’t hard to hurt. Embiid went off in Game 7. He gave it everything he had. For such an injury prone player they had to play him close to 40. So what happens now? They rest him. They don’t play him as many minutes in what I would say is a throw away game with such little rest for the team. The Sixers are only in this spot because of how Boston overplayed Tatum and he got injured again. They watched that happen and can’t do that to Embiid. Obviously the stats point toward this under on reduced minutes. We get an under here and we go. We get hot. Now is the time. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U26.5 in 7/L10 on 1 Day Rest U35 Minutes
Averaged 23.6 points on the road U35 minutes this season