Record: 3-0 +2.54 Units
Still undefeated. What can I say? I know ball. I should have just bet it all on Duke and not have to worry about Indiana. But Indiana still won so who cares. Indiana/Illinois went just as expected. The refs video review a clear Illinois TD and still call it an incompletion. Bazelak overthrows every ball during the game but then goes 75 yards for the game winning TD drive. Exactly how I predicted. That’s why football is the best. The BEST.
NC State -12 at ECU 1u -110
NC State is ranked. ECU is not. What else is there to say? NC State only being favored by 12 is a joke. This is a state rivalry game. I get ECU could come out with some fire but NC State is the real deal. They have a team that will pummel this ECU team. NC State has had time to prepare for ECU to come out firing and they also historically come out strong in Week 1. So they beat this ECU team by two touchdowns minimum. I think it’s close in the first quarter but give the game some time and NC State shows why they are the better team. They get a comfortable lead in the second half and easily cover this game.
Stats That Matter:
North Carolina State are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AAC
North Carolina State are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 1
East Carolina are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC
East Carolina are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 1
Bowling Green at UCLA Over 56 1u -110
This over just makes too much sense. Chip Kelly has to show it this year and starts big against Bowling Green. UCLA is bringing back a bunch of starters on offense which will help make sure they don’t start slow. UCLA statistically puts up a lot of points under Chip Kelly and that should be the case here. Bowling Green should also score some points with a new but veteran college QB and they are also bringing back some starters on offense. This game will be POINTS on POINTS.
Stats That Matter:
Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games overall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of California-Los Angeles’ last 6 games at home
6pt Teaser Ohio State -10/Ole Miss -15.5 -110 1u + Ohio State -16 1u -110
Betting on teams I believe in this year against pretty trash teams. I do not like this Notre Dame team. Ohio State is going to the playoff this year. Simple bet at -10. They win by at least double digits. This is another one of those games where you just have to put money on it if you like sports. A teaser is the play to do as well even though I also do like OSU at -16 and have added that too. Ole Miss has had two QBs battling it out to start so whoever it is is going to put up a big number. Lane Kiffin is not afraid to beat the living shit out of teams as well. He definitely knows what the spread is and will make sure to beat it. Ole Miss usually dominates week one and Troy doesn’t usually cover so should be a winner no doubt.
Stats That Matter:
OSU
Ohio State are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September
Ohio State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday when playing at home
Ole Miss
Mississippi are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September
Mississippi are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. S-Belt
Mississippi are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played in Week 1
Troy are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 1
Coastal Carolina -2/Boise State ML +300 1u
Coastal had a great year last year and although they lost a lot of players they still have a great core. Same Coach, QB, and RB and that’s all that matters. The fact that HC Chadwell is still there means he still has something to prove. Army lost a lot of players too and all Coastal has to do is top their run. It’s at home and I think their dominance continues today. Boise State is in the same situation with a returning QB and HC. Bachmeier is trying to go out on top in his final season at Boise. Avalos in his second season proving he can bring Boise State back to the top of the conference. Oregon State is bringing back a lot of guys from last year but they are due for a regression and I believe more in this Boise State team. It’s a parlay in two tight games and I like their spots.
Stats That Matter:
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP
Coastal Carolina are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September
Coastal Carolina are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in September
Coastal Carolina are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games at home
Boise State
Boise State are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Oregon State
Boise State are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September
Boise State are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in Week 1
Oregon State are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in Week 1
Oregon State are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference
