Record: 23-17 +5.7 Units //CFB: 11-6 // NFL: 12-11
Miami -2.5 at Virginia 1.1u to win 1u
Simple play. Miami needs this win. A must win for Cristobal. Miami has not looked great since week one but this is a spot where their talent comes out and wins this game. Miami was horrendous last week and has been horrendous all year but I do not believe in a world where Miami loses to Duke and Virginia in back to back weeks. It’s a simple play because I believe Miami has to wake up at some point. It just has to happen. I like this play because of the the spread too only needing a fg. I think Miami comes out and they finally start to build win after win starting with this week. Virginia hasn’t looked bad but coming off an upset against tech this is a let down spot and they come back to reality losing to Miami.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Virginia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games
Virginia is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games played in week 9
Miami is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Virginia
Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings
Notre Dame +2.5 at Syracuse 1.1u to win 1u
Another let down line. Syracuse almost pulled off the upset against Clemson until they choked the fourth quarter. They come out slow and probably depressed while Notre Dame comes out hungry. They need to keep proving each week they can beat these non-blue blood football schools. They beat UNLV last week but they lost to Stanford the week before. They need to start showing they can win like they used to against teams that are ranked and shouldn’t be. And although Syracuse has a great record and is ranked but they haven’t really beaten anyone good. The only team they played that was pretty solid was Clemson and they lost to them. This is similar to the Miami bet where you just have to go with talent sometimes. Notre Dame has the talent, they are a blue blood of college football and they win these games.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC
Notre Dame is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
Notre Dame is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played in week 9
Notre Dame is 17-3 SU in their last 20 games played in October
TCU at West Virginia+7.5 1.5u to win 1.3
TCU may be the luckiest team ever. Week after week. It’s time for that to end. In West Virginia. Country Roads blasting. Stadium stormed. I hate how everyone is seeing this. That does make me sick. But I just love this pick. TCU will be stopped at some point and I think it’s here. I also think even if TCU wins it has to be a close game. West Virginia has been all over the place this year but I still believe in JT Daniels. As crazy as that sounds I just think he still has some throws in him to change games. This is a spot where he does exactly that. Time for TCU to finally get tripped up. And even if they lose WVU keeps it close.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
WVU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss
WVU is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games
TCU is 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games in October
TCU is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games
TCU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in West Virginia
TCU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings
Kentucky +12 at Tennessee 2u to win 1.8u
I hate doing this but I have to. Tennessee is in blackout uniforms. But fuck Kentucky is really good. I know Tennessee is really good too but I don’t think they win this game by two touchdowns. I get they finally got over the hump and beat Alabama but a part of me still thinks they lose these types of games. And they are at home in some of the best uniforms I have ever seen but I really believe in Levis. I think Kentucky could pull off the upset and even if they don’t I still believe in Levis and this Kentucky team can keep it close. They have the tools and weapons to keep it close and potentially win this game. Just a play where I really like the team and I just think the line is way way too high.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Tennessee is 9-24 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Kentucky is 20-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Kentucky is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October
Kentucky is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings
