Pounding Picks NFL

Record: 27-21 +5.1 Units //CFB: 12-9 // NFL: 15-12

Las Vegas Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 2u to win 1.7 

Another fugazi line. A typical Vegas line where it makes no sense. So I just have to take it. Jaguars aren’t that bad. They just aren’t. They are a young team that is learning but can aslo win these games. The Raiders are the Raiders. No matter how many big names they add to their team they will never be good with Carr. Last week showed how bad it is in Vegas. 24-0 to the Saints and now somehow favored lmao. They are dogshit and Vegas is still holding on to Carr for whatever reason. Lawrence has not been great but this is essentially his rookie season and has been pretty good at home. Their only really bad loss was at home against the Texans which in my eyes is understandable. That’s just the way divisional games go, teams pull off upsets that make no sense. Other than that they have lost every other game by a play or two and it’s insane they are 2-6. And against the Raiders you should be able to now get a big play or two in your favor. It’s just what they do and who they are. Give me the Jags all day against a defeated Raiders team on an across the country road trip. Money

Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:

Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9

Jacksonville are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 9

Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record

Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record

Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November

Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings

Green Bay Packers -3.5 at Detroit Lions 2.5u to win 2.2u

I told myself I have to stop betting on the Packers. But here we are. I mean it did work last week. And this line is just so low. Back against the wall for Green Bay. They need this win. I know Campbell needs this win too but I still think he has the Goff excuse to stay in Detroit. And hopefully their front office knows they really need to tank for a QB. And Green Bay just needs it. They are in the wildcard hunt and if there is any possibility of the division they have to win here. Even though they lost last week I think the team has finally bought in. They are a ground and pound team with an above average defense and have the ability to make one or two big plays with Rodgers. That’s who they are and how they kept it closer than most thought last week against arguably the best team in the league. Especially in the second half they really got it going. So now they come out hot. They come out firing. Rodgers throws back some ayahuasca and they get the W. Easily. By double digits. They know this is a must win game. And they finally execute and stop the losing streak. And cover.

Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:

Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November

Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss

Packers are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the NFC East

Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games played in November

Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

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