Record: 49-40-3 (+4.3 units)
I fucking love these picks.
Lock: Utah +6.5 vs Oregon 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Oregon is good but Utah is great at home. They keep this a field goal game. It’s what they do at home. I don’t care who is playing at QB this team covers. I think they have a chance to win it outright. I love it. Give me Utah as dogs at home all day everyday.
Unbiased Stats:
Utah is 18-0 in L18 at home
Utah is 17-3 in L20 against PAC12 opponents
Oregon is 0-4 ATS at Utah L4
Lock: USC -10 vs Cal 2u to win 1.8u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
USC bounce back. Cal is shit. This is a double digit USC win. I know I told myself I would stop betting on them but I love them here. USC is due for a cover. Cal is at home but there is no such thing as a home crowd in Berkeley. Caleb Williams wants to bounce back and silence the shit talkers. USC needs this win. Lincoln needs this win. They have to have a blowout win here. They just have to.
Unbiased Stats:
USC is 16-2 in L18 against Cal
USC is 15-5 in L20
Cal is 1-5 ATS in L6 played in October
Cal is 3-10 ATS in L13 in Week 9
Lock: Wisconsin +15 vs Ohio State 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Ohio State let down spot. They got their home win against a T10 Penn State and now it’s time for a closer game on the road. Wisconsin has had an up and down season. There was real hype before the season but now they are unranked. They need this game to be close. They fight till the end and keep it close at home. They have enough talent on both sides of the ball to keep this a two score game. This number is too big for a conference game away from home and I love the points.
Unbiased Stats:
Wisconsin is 8-3 in L11 played in October
Wisconsin is 11-4 in L15 played in Week 9
Lock: Colorado O22.5 2u to win 1.8u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am doing it again. I am taking Colorado. I told myself to stop betting on USC/Colorado but here we are. I absolutely love it but I do know what I am getting myself in to going against myself. Colorado is coming off a bye and the problem with Colorado is not their offense. They can score and they will score against UCLA. UCLA’s defense has been pretty good but when you take a look at who they have played it explains a lot. CCU 57th in scoring, SDSU 117th in scoring, NC Central HBCU, Utah no real QB and 99th in scoring, Wazzou played at home, Oregon State got to 24, and Stanford letdown post Colorado win and 108th in scoring. Give me Colorado. They score and they score fast. They are going to want to put on a show after the Stanford collapse.
Unbiased Stats:
Colorado is averaging 27.1 points in L10 vs UCLA
Colorado O22.5 in 6/7 this season
