Record: 47-35-1 (+13.4 units)
Recap:
Stupid. Stupid. Stupid. I can’t believe how long I stared at that fucking screen looking at his props and I went with this loser. I got too fuckin cute with it. I should have simply gone with his PRA. I think I almost stared at his line for too long and I psyched myself out of his PRA. This shit still only lost by 3 too. It was that first quarter. Can’t have a quarter with 5 rebounds and also not blow out the team. Even if it was a blowout I think Doc was playing him the majority of the second half. I really just got in my head on this one. I should have went PRA but I got in my head thinking he could score at will and also forgetting he is still shit at free throws. Fuck that one hurt. It hurts a lot because I was right there and I really stared at the line for so long figuring out which line made more sense. Fuck. It’s only one loss but it still really fucking hurts. Fuck.
Lock: Sam Darnold U249.5 Passing Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This line is too high. This is a let down spot for the Vikings. After the battle with Detroit and that game being so close they now don’t show up against the Rams. I do think the Vikings are legit and it isn’t a fluke that they are 5-1 but they are still due for a real let down game. Darnold is the one that is really do due for a let down game. He is due for a real Darnold game. It has been too clean of a season for him and I still expect him to be the Darnold we have known for the past five years. This line is simply too high and I expect the Rams defense to show up against him in a short week. The Rams defense has been average this season and I believe an average defense can keep Darnold U249.5. A short week and I also do not believe that helps Darnold. Overall this game is setup for an upset by the Rams and the Vikings come back down to earth. Darnold is going to be shit. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U249.5 Passing Yards in 4/L7
Averaging 228.3 passing yards per game this season
Rams only allow 212.7 passing yards per game
