Record: 97-89-3 (+4.8 units)
Recap:
Winner. I am so happy. I am almost in awe that I actually won a bet. With the way the past two weeks have gone I didn’t know if I would feel like this again. I want to feel like this everyday. I deserve to feel this way with how much time I analyze lines and try and find the best under. This one was easy after the first quarter. Not a great start but then it was a magical second quarter. We had several minutes without a basket and the game slowed down. It was pacing great at half. Same thing happened in the third and all I had to do was avoid disaster in the fourth quarter. I avoided OT and it hit with ease. It was a perfect under. Both offenses had problems and even though Portland won they still regressed scoring. It was perfect. I knew the roster changes on Sacramento would affect that offense and I want to shoutout Lavine for passing the ball twice instead of shooting a buzzer beater. I needed this winner. I am going through it mentally and physically and I don’t know how many more losses I can take. I am still not even close to being out of it. I need to win and win and win.
Lock: Scottie Barnes U34.5 PRA 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am sticking with the NBA. I didn’t like anything in college so I am back in the NBA. I am going to go with a player prop. This line is too high for a guy I don’t believe in. I know Barnes is pretty decent but he has had some problems shooting recently and he is now going up against arguably the best team in the league. This is his third game in four days and his first game away from home in over a week so I think that affects his play tonight. The Raptors also had some trades yesterday and I think that is going to affect how he plays and this offense overall. With how both of these teams play and OKC is at home I wouldn’t be surprised if this game is over by the fourth quarter. He has only hit this over once in his career against OKC and in that game he only hit it over by one and that game went in 2OT. He isn’t hitting this over. OKC is going to be all over him. He isn’t going to improve his shooting in this environment. Please OKC blow this game out and make him sit early. We get another one here. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U34.5 IN 4/L5
U34.5 in 6/L8 on the road
