Lunch Break Lock

Record: 77-66-3 (+1.6 units)

Recap:

OK day yesterday. Both bets hit but the Chiefs lost. Kelce got the TD. The under hit with ease in the 4th. I wish I bet Hurts TD because I also liked it but I couldn’t do it. I feel like that is a thing for me in knowing great bets but I can’t bet against my team or bet on rivals. Now I am stuck listening to all this bullshit about the Chiefs too. They are fine. They have a very real chance at winning the rest of the games. I get the WR’s need to be shit on but I still believe in them. I think what people are forgetting is that we didn’t play a bad team yesterday we played the fuckin Eagles. Some are saying the Eagles defense is pretty fucking good. Now for the drops yeah they are bad. But it was also pouring rain. If you limit the drops and take away the two red zone turnovers we are more than fine. I think this team may be even better than last year. We are in the same spot as last year with three losses. One to a bad team that’s the Broncos this year like the Colts last year, one to a pretty good team in the Lions like the Bills last year, and one to a Superbowl contender like the Bengals last year. Then we won out, got to the Arrowhead Invitational and won the SB. We are fine.

Lock: Trae Young O28.5 PR 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I hate Trae but I love him. He is a selfish fucking dickhead. Who isn’t good but puts up stats. He reminds me of a Westbrook but instead of the hustle has the shooting. This total is so high it’s at 252 and opened at 250 and still has 99% of the money on it. How does this total hit or get close? Trae fuckin Young. This douchebag is going to be running up and down the court shooting and picking up some rebounds. Hawks and Pacers are two of the shorter teams which means Trae should get more boards than usual. It’s at home. It’s in an in season tournament must win game. He is going to be shooting. I love Trae here even thought I hate him.

Unbiased Stats:

Trae Young O28.5 PR in 2/L3 at home vs Pacers

Trae Young O28.5 PR 9/L17 when the total is 240.5+

Trae Young O28.5 PR 6/L9 when the total is 240.5+ at home

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