Record: 83-71-3 (+0.6 units)
Recap:
Easy, easy, easy. Way under. We only had to worry about OT. And that was pretty scary. OKC had a chance at a buzzer 3 and thank God they missed. SGA wasn’t close and it sealed the W. We are running hot in NBA. Hopefully this is a good sign for the future.
Lock: PHI/NO U230.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Biggest bet difference on the board. I am not in love with it but it fits the criteria. Biggest difference after consistent monitoring, getting the best number, and it’s an under. I like it. This board was tough but I feel good about this one. 56% of slips on the over but the under has 68%. It opened at 226 so I am getting an additional 4.5 points. No other matchups came close to having this difference. I am a man of under. Outside of Embiid and Maxey I think it will be tough for Philly to score. Embiid should stop points in the paint for NO. PHI averages 7 points less on the road and also allows less on the road. Pelicans have had lower shooting the L5 too and I think PHI will only allow them less. Perfect set up for a nice little under. This one was hard but I found it. Now please let this hit. PLP.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in PHI at NO 4/L6
Under in NO’S 5/L5
Under in NO’s 5/L6 against an opponent in the Eastern Conference
