Record: 84-73-3 (-0.4 units)
Recap:
System loss. Can’t really blame anyone on this one. Knicks shot 50% they are averaging 44% so that is the difference right there. From 3 they shot 44% and average 37% so that killed it too. I probably should have went to props. I knew 216 is low and you have to have a perfect game for it to go under and I should have realized that. Thankfully I didn’t double fuck myself and take the Raptors too. I am now pledging to never take an NBA under 219. Never. If it’s that low I need to adjust and go to props. I liked 3 props yesterday and hit 2/3 but it really should have been 3/3 if Grant Williams doesn’t hit a buzzer beater three. But that’s not the point, the point is I need to hit the props. I have been solid seeing the board. This is one loss but there is still a long road ahead.
Lock:Â Jalen Milroe O216.5 Passing Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Milroe is that guy. He wasn’t that guy early in the season but he has now turned into that guy. He can throw the ball. Yea he throws the occasional pick but that doesn’t affect yards. I have a future on Alabama to save me from all of my future losses so I am also rooting for that. I think this is by far the best bet on the board. Even if Alabama is down late I can get some garbage time yards which could save me. This line is simply just too low. SEC Championship breeds good QB passing so he should at least get 250. PLP.
Unbiased Stats:
Milroe O216.5 in 8/L11
O216.5 Passing Yards for each team in 5/L5 SEC Championship
