Record: 105-96-3 (-4.8 units)
Recap:
Terrible terrible pick. Picked the wrong one. Not a terrible week for college though. Still not good enough. I had so many options and I went with that dog shit pick. Absolutely terrible. BYU was shooting 70% at the end of the 1h. And for it to only lose by 6 is wild. I just needed a couple misses. I mean I knew it was over at half but for it to only go over by 6 is fucking crazy. So much pain. Soul crushing with how many options were on the board. I needed to go with the ranked going into the unranked. It would have had a phenomenal record today if there wasn’t so many ots. I also need to get something else off my chest. I sprinkled Richmond/Dayton U132.5. That may have been the wildest loss of all time. 35 points at half and it somehow loses. No OT just 20 points in the last minute. That sums up my Saturday. Going forward I may have to have more bets in games when the slate is so large. But I also like having to focus on one so thats a maybe. Thank God football is back. I know there isn’t much left but I will take every second I can get.
Lock:Â Jahmyr Gibbs O23.5 Receiving Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Gibbs is a monster. He can do it all. He will do it all in the air today. The 49ers don’t have a good RB receiving yard defense. Gibbs is an athlete. He has the speed to break one or two screens or a couple checkdowns. I know he will break one. And with this line being so low he only has to break one. I love it. I searched and searched for a play on this game and I found one. Of course I can only bet on this game. Let’s be honest whether the Chiefs win or lose this bet won’t matter too much to me either way. My life revolves around KC. We can win tomorrow. I have the same confidence as I had for the Bills. I like our chances. I can’t believe all everyone talked about this week was our offense. Don’t get me wrong they were awesome last week besides Mecole. But our defense has been fucking amazing. Our second half defense has been one of the best defenses I have ever seen and has not been talked about enough. The adjustments by Spags has been magnificent. I respect the Ravens so I have nothing to say about them other than we are going to win tomorrow. But besides all that Gibbs goes over. It feels weird typing over but we have an over. And a great one.
Unbiased Stats:
Gibbs O23.5 Receiving Yards in 2/L2 playoff games
Gibbs averaging 4 targets in the playoffs
Gibbs averaging 10.4 receiving yards per reception in the playoffs
49ers allowed the 9th most receiving yards per game to RB’s
