Record: 108-101-4 (-8.1 units)
Recap:
Pain. I fucking suck. I am trash. I have been ass for two weeks now. I mean this feels like some twisted fucked up joke. I bet on Dayton to slow the game down since they were ranked 354/362 in possessions per game and somehow they ended up with 94 points which is their season high in points scored. Not only that but this ended up being the second highest total on a decently sized board. You really really can’t make that up. I mean both teams were shooting lights out. I was expecting the same slow ass Dayton team and instead when they were up 15 they were still playing fast. That was atrocious. I don’t know how I am able to magically make these teams have incredible nights from behind the arc. It really is phenomenal how that happens. It is starting to feel like these next few nights might be my final stand on CBB. I can’t keep taking these losses and I may have to transition into something else.
Lock:Â Wisconsin/Michigan U142.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is it. I need it. I need it bad. BIG10 basketball. I almost hate saying it now but ranked going into unranked. This has to go under. Michigan is terrible this season. Wisconsin is good but not because they score a lot but because they play defense. I am going to need a lot of defense, defense, defense. I have decided I have been too lax on my decision making so I have created a formula: MOHM. Money ,where’s the money at for this instance the over is getting 73% of bets but the under has 58% of the money ✅. Occasion, is for the matchup so for this it’s ranked going into unranked ✅. History, for this one 4/L5 U142.5 ✅. Movement, this bet opened up at 144 and now it’s 142.5 as long as I am not getting a shit number and if the number makes more sense for the under ✅. I felt like I had been doing this for my previous picks but I was not strict enough using it. Now that I have this system in place I am hoping I start finding the winners. Winners. Winners. Winners.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Michigan’s 4/L6 played in February
Under in Michigan’s 6/L9
WISC/MICH U142.5 in 4/L5
