Record: 102-92-3 (+6.3 units)
Recap:
Loser. Pretty unlucky bet. It wasn’t a super painful bullshit loss but it slow painful unlucky death. It was over in the first five minutes or at least that is what it seemed like. After both teams went 60%+ in the first 5ish minuted then both got cold and pulled me back in. It fought its way back until the last minute of the half where it got fucked again. Second half started just as shit as the first half and it was fucked. I don’t know how to predict both teams shooting way above their average from three. I mean Loyola-Chicago shot 50%. Saint Louis shot above 40% until they started heaving it in the final minute. I don’t know how I am supposed to handicap that. I am not winning any bet when a team shoots 50% from deep. The only other game that mattered I think would have ended in heartbreak for me. I think I would have gotten UCLA/Indiana at 139.5 so I would have been fucked there. You have to be perfect on these small boards and I was no where near that tonight. I have to be better plain and simple. I know it was a fucked bet but I still could have been better. I have to win tomorrow.
Lock: Stanford/Duke U140.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Massive board and I found a winner. It isn’t the typical ranked into unranked but it is actually the opposite. I will also be sprinkling those matchups but this is the big one. I love this play. Stanford is not good. I mean they only scored 52 against Georgia Tech. How do they score more than that against Duke. Stanford also plays slow so I don’t see how they contribute to this going over. Duke is obviously good but I think they slow it down a little extra against Stanford. They already play slow and I think this number is simply too high. I think this game finishes in the 130s. This number is too high for how slow these two teams plays and that is why this hits. We also have to acknowledge that Stanford is going across the country for this game. Stanford has to be exhausted playing at Georgia Tech and now at Duke. This is going to go under. It is the best bet on the board. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Stanford’s 4/L6 played on the road on a Saturday
Under in Duke’s 8/L11 played in February