Record: 115-106-4 (-6.6 units)
Recap:
Winner. It was an awful week but at least we got a last day W. That is one of those games that if you take an under you are crazy. I was close to taking Lebron but then his line moved and he was the only one I had a feeling about taking the under. I am crazy but I am not that crazy. I mean you can’t take an under in that game when anything can happen. Time to lock the fuck in. It was a terrible week last week. I felt I was getting in my own head and that can’t happen. It has to be better. No more overthinking. Find the under and run with it.
Lock:Â Virginia/Virginia Tech U126.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
The key to this week is not overthinking. I have to take this. It’s low and although I went 1-1 last week in low totals the one that lost was at least close. I just simply can’t have either team get hot from three. The money is on the under and the bets are on the over ✅. This is a rivalry game. Virginia has just dropped from the rankings but is still in the tourney. VT is projected in the NIT so they can still make a late push for the tourney. At the end of the day this is a rivalry game. They are going to play hard regardless of their records. They are going to play defense ✅. Even with such a low number historically this matchup goes under. They played a month ago and it went under. It should be the same result today ✅. It opened at 127.5 and I am getting it within the rule. The movement also matches the money ✅. This is it though. I couldn’t get cute with it. I had to take this. This is my fucking week. I am starting it off with a win. Under. Under. Under.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Virginia’s 4/L6 played on a Monday
Under in Virginia/Virginia Tech’s 6/L8
