Record: 145-138-6 (-14.5 units)
Recap:
Pain. I really hate Josh Hart. Second time I bet against that guy and he fucked me. I thought at some point he would miss from deep. He didn’t. Three straight games with 4 3’s. He had never done that in his career. He has never shot this well from deep ever. Even though they lost all of these fuckers still made 3’s too. Terrible. I wanted to go with a Knick too and it didn’t even matter who I went with because they all went over. Fuck. I am going to have to start taking shots. I need to start hammering lines and stop with some of these weak ass bets. Thankfully I didn’t do that today but I need to start making the climb back to even. I need to go deep and find a guaranteed winner or two. This is my time. Underia needs me.
Lock:Â Cardinals/Mets NRFI 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is the play. Both of these teams are mid at best. They are not great in the first inning. We have two solid first inning pitchers. Mikolas hasn’t had the best first inning start to the season but it has been against good teams. The Mets aren’t a good team. He has also pitched against a run of teams with a loaded first four batters and got through most of them. Butto has been solid this season in the first. He hasn’t been perfect but he has been solid. He was nearly perfect last season so he has the credibility to shutdown first innings. This is the best NRFI on the board and I love it. I couldn’t get myself to put more on it but I should. I love it. I think the loss yesterday is the only thing that is holding me back. For now it is only 1u. I will take a shot this weekend. I know I am going to fall in love with something this weekend. I can feel a big winner. For Underia.
Unbiased Stats:
Mets are averaging 0.25 runs at home in the first inning
Butto shutout the first inning in 7/7 games last season
Cardinals are averaging 0.36 runs in the first inning
Mikolas has shutout the first inning in 4/6 against the Mets
