Record: 102-93-3 (+5.3 units)
Recap:
Loser. Possibly my worst loss of the year. I was fooled. I thought these two teams would play like they have played all year. They did not. They came out running up and down the court as fast as they could. I knew I was fucked. I know that sometimes this happens where they come out fast but this time they never stopped. I never had a chance. Duke was making everything and they played so fast. I mean both teams are in the bottom half of college basketball for pace. I don’t know why that changed today. I can’t remember the last time I lost this bad. Once again I bet on a game where a team shot nearly 50% from three. Terrible. Shit. I am now instituting a rule that I have to take a ranked into unranked on Saturday. There is money is those matchups and I have once again swayed away from it like a fucking idiot. I have to stop thinking that I am smarter than that system. I have to be better. Two losses in a row and I am in shambles. I have to be better. I can’t lose tomorrow.
Lock: Creighton/St. John’s U143.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Need a winner. We only have college basketball and it is a pretty small board. I did fade myself this morning and stayed away from the Memphis game and Michigan game and both are most likely going to go over. Sometimes you have to do that. When you miss the day before on the system you don’t chase the system the next day. In a way this is almost the reverse of the system. We have two ranked teams. The higher ranked team is at home. The reason why you take this game is because both teams will play defense. I know both teams can score but both teams play better defense. The line being this low is telling you that this game is going to be about the defense and not the offense. This game ended at 113 in December so we are getting an extra 30 points to work with. It was a one point game then too so I don’t see either coach making any major adjustments. Give me this under. This play is about reading myself while also reading the board and I love it. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Creighton’s 6/L8
Under in Creighton’s 5/L7 on a Sunday
Under in St. John’s’ 4/L5
Under in St. John’s’ 5/L7 on a Sunday
