Lunch Break Lock

Record: 63-44-1 (+16.6 units)

Recap:

Winner. Massive win. That was wayyyy closer than it should have been. It won and I wasn’t spot on with my analysis but I was pretty damn close. The Ravens defense was back and didn’t allow a TD. The Steelers did win but they didn’t do anything crazy on offense. The Ravens were just gifting them great field position and they were scoring field goal after field goal. They couldn’t really do anything in the first half and somehow still ended up with 9 points because they got the ball in field goal range twice because of stupid Ravens turnovers. The Ravens defense was doing its job in the first half but I was really fucking worried because it was pacing. I knew that the Steelers were a second half team and I knew the offense wouldn’t be as bad as they were in the first half. That’s exactly what happened as they were able to move the ball and got two field goals on their first two drives. The reason this bet won because they bend but didn’t break. They kept keeping the Steelers out of the end zone. It was fucking close late with Wilson goal to go sitting at 15-10 and then he threw a perfect interception. It was perfect. I was expecting him to have one of those and it was the perfect time to have one. At that point 9 minutes left in the game I didn’t see how it could lose. They got another fg but I was never really worried unless it went to OT. Even if it went to OT I still felt the game would be decided by a fg with how the Ravens defense was playing. That’s a winner. It was a great fucking pick. Now let’s get to stacking them again.

Lock: Texans/Cowboys 1H U21 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

This was the best play on the board. I see both of these teams coming out slow. The Cowboys defense simply has to show up. That is all that needs to happen. If they show up and get two stops I don’t see how this loses. The Cowboys offense is shit and I don’t see how they score tonight. They have no run game and Lamb is dealing with an injury so I don’t even know how big of an impact he will have. This is really a play on the primetime under. I can’t trust McCarthy late so I didn’t want to risk the actual under on some Cowboys bullshit. The Texans are going to come out slow as they usually do away from home and this hits. I just need a slow ground and pound start to this game that kills the clock. I searched and searched for a play and I think I found a winner. This is the play. This is how I get a primetime win. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Houston scores 7.6 less points in the first half away from home

Dallas averages 8.5 points in first half at home

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