Record: 34-22-1 (+10.9 units)
Recap:
Winner. Another fucking winner. That one was easy. I had no doubt in mind this was going under. I was too much of a pussy and I should have taken it live when it was at 50. That is my only regret with this bet. It wasn’t pacing in the first half but I was confident that with the way Giants were having long drives and how every drive they had scored points I knew it couldn’t possibly go over. It slowed down in the second half just as I thought and with only six points in the third quarter it would have taken a disaster fourth quarter for it to lose. At the end of the day the Cowboys defense did step up in the redzone but I was expecting them to show up a bit more. The Cowboys offense was pretty shit in the second half too which helped. Winner. That is three in row. I am as hot as ever. I want a Friday winner though. It has been years since I have had one. Time to lock in and find one.
Lock: Rutgers U23.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I did it again. I like this total but looked deeper and found a team total that I like even more. Washington’s defense has been great to start the year. They didn’t allow Northwestern to do anything last week. The only game they allowed this over was against Wazzou and that is always a tough matchup to stop. We have another Big Ten team vs another former Pac-12 team. From what I have seen so far this season is that Pac-12 teams can still compete defensively against anyone no matter the location. I think these former Pac-12 teams are going to emphasize playing tough and stopping the run. Rutgers offense has been pretty good but I think with Washington’s defense they will create some stops. A short week too and I think that affects their offense. I also like what I have seen from Washington’s defense. I think this total is too high. I thought it should have been 21 or 22 but I am getting 2 TDs and 3 field goals. I can also see a world where Washington gets to 35 and fucks this game total so that’s why I went with the team total. Same situation as the Purdue game last week. Love it. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Washington allows on average 10.25 PPG
Rutgers U23.5 in 2/L2 against Washington
