Record: 70-52-1 (+16.6 units)
Recap:
Loser. Dogshit pick. Dogshit game. There were very few unders that hit with how this game went. I mean it was utter chaos and unders didn’t stand a chance. I guess maybe RB unders hit but other than that not many others hit. When you have a primetime game like this one you can’t feel too bad about your bet losing in the first half. This game was an Anti Under. There is a major over plague with these primetime games and it is sad to see. They are getting rinsed right now. I don’t know if its the new kickoff rules or simply better matchups but they aren’t the same as last year. There is still time to turn it around for them and I will still be firing on them but I am very concerned about them moving forward. This is one of those games where it sucks it ends the streak but there is not much I could have done differently. Winston was slinging the ball and the Broncos secondary was dogshit for game and it was dead by half like every other under. Winston played too much like old Winston and had all the yards on top of two terrible interceptions. It was too much of a Winston game and I did not think the Broncos secondary was that atrocious but they are. Fuck. Time to move on and find a winner tomorrow.
Lock: Ole Miss/Louisville U150.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am going back to college basketball. I started off hot and then got torched last week but I am back. It is a classic college basketball game and not some bullshit fake vacation tourney and I am hoping that was the problem my unders had last week. We have one team that is just inside the rankings going to an arena of a team that is just outside the rankings. This game is too important for this game to go over. I think both Ole Miss and Louisville are solid which is why I think they understand the significance of this game down the road. This means maximum effort defense. This game is the making of a lower scoring close game that ends in the low 140s. Ole Miss also hasn’t played a real away game yet and this is their first game in an opponents stadium. That is going to get to them and affect their shooting. Both teams do score points but they do not play as fast as you think with how many points they score which means regression. Money on this game early is also on the under with the bets on the over which is perfect. I love this spot and this was by far the best bet on the board. I have to get my money after yesterday’s loss and get back on track. Give me this under. Get me closer to 20u. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Under in Ole Miss’ 4/L5 vs ACC opponents
Under in Louisville’s 6/L7
Under in Louisville’s 5/L6 at home
