Record: 43-29-1 (+12.1 units)
Recap:
Loser. Fucking loser. What a shit day of football. All the games sucked. All the favorites won. It was overs everywhere. I didn’t stand a chance today. Do I only take primetime NFL unders now? Those hit at least. This pick fucking sucked too. The Panthers were shit. They started off hot and too hot which actually fucked me. I needed them to either be shit or play defense and they did neither. Fuck. I don’t see a world where I don’t get fucked today. My only option would have been going to primetime and I didn’t do that. Fuck. Good thing is it’s only one loss. It hurts like a motherfucker but I have to keep going. I am going to climb may way up to 20u. I am going to fucking do it.
Lock: Aaron Rodgers U222.5 Pass + Rush Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I saw this line and I had to take the value. I am all about value with this pick. Rodgers passing yards line is 217.5 and his rushing yards is 1.5. So technically I am already winning the bet since I get an extra four yards. Some books have his line at 214.5 passing yards too. So I really couldn’t pass it up. I also think this new head coach is going to emphasize running the ball and establishing the run. The way you beat this Bills defense is by running the ball down their throats and I am praying the Jets understand that. The Ravens killed them on the ground and since the Jets arguably have the best backfield in the league I am hoping they finally use that to their advantage. I mean with a duo like Hall/Allen they have to pound the football. This line is too high for a QB that can’t move with an elite backfield. Give me this under. Give me a Jets team that finally uses the run game. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Buffalo defense averages 198 Pass Yards Allowed
Rodgers U222.5 in 2/L3 when Jets run the ball 39%+
