Lunch Break Lock

Record: 43-28-1 (+13.1 units)

Recap:

Winner. Fucking winner. I am fucking lights out this week. I needed that college football win. I felt like I couldn’t get a college football winner to save my life. I really needed this one. I was a little worried because it did start pretty solid. There were some points but it looked too good in the first quarter. Long drives with missed field goals and I thought it was setting up for a bullshit loss. My brain is so fried from watching football games start so well and then they fuck me in the end I sometimes want early points. I mean I had flashbacks to the past two weeks with the bullshit 70 yard TD in the second quarter after the 7 point first quarter. Thankfully this one didn’t fuck me. It went pretty much as expected with Iowa State’s defense being elite and WVU’s defense did enough to shorten the game for the rest of the game. A 0 point third quarter helped and also some missed field goals but this was never going over. I did get a little scared in the end with the possibility of pure bullshit but thankfully Iowa State went for it on 4th down and kneeled it out. Winner. Back to winning on Saturday. Now time for a NFL winner.

Lock: Panthers/Falcons U47 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am going for a bullshit divisional game. This line is way too high for the productivity of these two offenses. The Falcons are coming off of a mini bye and I believe there defense should contain this non existent Panthers offense. I think the Panthers have to come out and just run the ball for the first half. I don’t get how you can trust Dalton throwing the ball this game after what he did last game. I think the Panthers defense will do enough to stop the Falcons from scoring more than 30. I think this may also be a let down spot for the Falcons. Everyone is already saying it’s their division to lose and are giving Cousins all the hype. That is the perfect scenario for a let down for this Falcons offense. I also think that although Cousins has looked healthy I think the Falcons play it safe this weekend and don’t overuse him and run the ball. They are playing one of the worst teams in the league and I don’t think they want to risk him getting injured and should just try to win this game on the ground. This game is outside and Cousins isn’t an outdoor QB too. I also believe this line is too high. I had it at low 40s and I feel like I am getting an extra 4/5 points. I love that’s it’s divisional game because that always means some bullshit will happen. I think for this game that means a low scoring dual. Give me this under. Give me a Sunday winner. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Under in ATL at CAR in 6/L7

Under in CAR/ATL in 6/L8

Under in Carolina’s 6/L8 against NFC South

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