Lunch Break Lock

Record: 82-68-1 (+11.4 units)

Recap:

Loser. Dead loser. I don’t know what I could have done about this game. I mean there was 0 defense. It feels like every over hit. I don’t know what under even hit. This loss was inevitable. They didn’t guard Kittle for shit and I was fucked from the jump. So much for the Lions having the best defense against Tight Ends. Losers. That defense is shit now and I guess I should have stayed away from this but again I don’t know what else I could have gone with. It would have taken a miracle to have won an under in this game. I feel like every time I have a soul crushing loss I then spiral out of control. I haven’t won since that Vandy/GT game and I feel like shit. I don’t know how to fix this. I need a winner bad. I just need to see one fucking winner. Please.

Lock: Boise State U20.5 2u to win 1.8u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am in love with this pick. We are doubling up on it. A rare double up. I am not some schtick fucker that doubles up all the time. I can’t remember the last double up. I couldn’t believe this line when I saw it. I am getting 20 points to work with and it’s Boise State’s offense against Penn State’s defense. Think about that. I am getting one of the best power five teams in the nation against Boise State. I know Boise State isn’t a shlub of a program but this team isn’t ready for this type of NIL talent. I think this is the worst matchup possible for them too. Penn State’s defense is going to demolish this offensive line. They are a team that is designed to win in the trenches and they are going to take Jeanty out of this game. This is going to be just like the SMU game. Penn State is going to roll Boise. I really couldn’t believe this line and before I saw it I though it would be 17.5. 20.5 is absurd for this matchup. I mean Boise State barely put up 21 against UNLV. Ohio State only put up 20 against Penn State. You are telling me Boise State is putting up more points than Ohio State against this defense? I just can’t see Boise State scoring 3 TD’s against this defense. All we have to avoid is special teams and defensive points. I hate saying that because it feels like a jinx but I felt obligated to say it. Please Allar don’t fuck this up. This is where I stop the fall. I get more back than regular. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Boise State averages 6.7 points less on the road this season

Penn State averages 15.9 points allowed this season

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