Lunch Break Lock

Record: 48-39-1 (+10.3 units)

Recap:

Pain. Max pain again. I got kicked to death. Field goal after field goal. I didn’t get a stop until halfway through the second quarter and that pretty much sums it up. The defenses didn’t do shit until the ball was in the red zone and that fucked me. It fucked me. The first drive scripts were too good and it felt like neither team could stop the run. Not only could they stop the run but they let wide receivers get wide open. I turned it off after I thought the TD happened and then I thought I might have been saved. Nope they pulled me back in and fucked me. It was right there all I needed was one more Pittsburgh stop. One more fucking stop but they couldn’t even do that. If they get one more stop the Giants run out that clock to the end that half. I am losing my mind with these losses. I am back in the thick of it trying to stay ahead of 10u. I am losing these bets by a play or two and I can’t stand it. I also went with the wrong play today because I had a book give this out at 18.5 with a little more juice and I should have taken that. I should have taken that and eaten the juice but unfortunately I didn’t and it fucked me. Morale is really low right now but I will find a winner. That is what I do. It’s not like I am seeing the board terribly but rather I am getting fucked by a play or two. I am going to get to 20u. I just have to keep my head up and keep fighting for Underia.

Lock: Domantas Sabonis U38.5 PRA 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am back to the NBA. I am actually excited about the NBA after getting rinsed this weekend on football. I need a winner. I need a winner really fucking bad. I am going with a prop. I am going with the basic prop. I am going under PRA on a guy who is coming off a back to back. I have a terrible history with Sabonis but this is where it changes. It’s a back to back and this team is traveling for this game. He is going to be tired. The Jazz don’t give up a lot of rebounds and that is where Sabonis lives so I am expecting him to be under his average rebounds. Sabonis has not been getting a a lot of assists this season and that is also perfect for this bet. I saw this line last night and loved it. I expected it to move down which it didn’t so I got the perfect line. He went under this number last season against the Jazz in 2/3. This game is destined for him to go under. Give me Kings shooting lights out from 3 and Sabonis gets pulled early. That’s what I need. I need this fucking win. Give me this win. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴

Unbiased Stats:

U38.5 PRA in 9/L15 on a back to back

U38.5 PRA in 13/L20

Jazz allow 33.9 PRA on average to centers this season

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