Record: 11-6-1 (+4.0 units)
Recap:
I mean how is it this easy. This may be my new favorite time to bet on football. This is incredible. I can’t lose. The live under went below 39 almost immediately. It was never even close to pacing over. Even with a bullshit safety and also a bad interception return it was easy. The other game went under too. Unders went 14-2 in week two of the preseason. I should have taken all of them. I won a nice amount but I wish it was more. The unders weren’t even nearly as successful last year compared to this year so I couldn’t predict this run. I think this means it is the year of the under. It has to mean that.
Lock: Pirates/Rangers NRFI 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Time to stay hot. It’s not preseason but I won’t stop. I will not stop winning. We need a simple six outs. I feel good about this one. The Pirates are dogshit in the first inning. The Rangers aren’t great and are average in the first. There wasn’t much on the board today. The only super clean NRFI’s on the board were insanely juiced and the rest were way to sketchy. This one is a bit of a gamble but I like the pitching matchup. Ortiz is decent enough in the first inning to get three. The recent games he allowed runs in the first were because he was facing the same team twice. He was decent outside of those starts. Dunning is solid he can get a clean inning against one of the worst first inning teams in baseball. It is as simple as that. Both of these teams are out of the playoffs so there shouldn’t be much urgency to score early. This is what I got and I am going with it. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Dunning has shutout 7/13 first innings this season
Ortiz has shutout 4/8 first innings this season
Pirates average 0.35 first inning runs away from home this season
Rangers average 0.48 first inning runs at home this season
