Lunch Break Lock

Record: 22-14-1 (+5.8 units)

Recap:

Bad loss. I thought defenses would show up in Brazil and they didn’t. The Eagles defense couldn’t tackle for shit and had too many blown coverages. Can’t have that happen in order to win a team total. Can’t have it. I don’t think I should be blaming the Eagles defense though. It was the offense that fucked me. The first Jalen Hurts INT ended in a Packers field goal. The fumble gave the Packers another field goal. Both set the Packers up for a field goal on the Eagles side of the field and gave the defense no chance. The defense even stepped up and held both of those turnovers to a field goal. Outside a play or two the defense looked good too. I mean at the end of the day it lost by six points which is the same amount the Eagles offense cost me. I think overall it was a bad bet but it was hard to bet an under this game. I don’t know how many unders even won and I really didn’t think this game open up the way it did. It is what it is I guess. Time to restart the streak and turn it around for the weekend.

Lock: Iowa State/Iowa U35.5 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am going to a rivalry game for the Cy-Hawk Trophy. I mean this number is simply too high. These are two teams that love to be in the trenches and run the ball. The total for this game is always low and I still don’t think at 35.5 it is low enough. I think getting five touchdowns in this rivalry is more than enough. The under has hit in this rivalry consistently and I don’t see that changing today. I think early in the season and both teams are ready to get into a low scoring dog fight. That’s what it is going to be because that is what this state is. It is hard fought and it is going to be full of defense and this is going to go under. It is going to happen. I am going to get this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Iowa State/Iowa under has hit 5/L5

Iowa State/Iowa U35.5 in 4/L5

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