Record: 15-9-1 (+4.6 units)
Recap:
Winner. Another fucking winner. We are getting hot now. Getting a nice little bankroll for football season and it looks great. That one was pretty easy. No hits and only a walk. It was never a sweat. An almost perfect NRFI. NRFI’s were getting killed in the morning and they turned it around for the late games as I expected them too. Taking a NRFI on the weekend is always a little scary because it feels like they usually shit the bed. Thankfully it didn’t matter today and I think with how cold they were this weekend it is only right they get hot tomorrow.
Lock: Cubs/Pirates NRFI 1u to win 0.8u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
The NRFI’s are going to have a day. I can already picture the board with so many End 1st Inning 0-0. I know this one is a little juiced but I had to take it. It isn’t juiced on every book so there is still value to be had. These two pitchers are phenomenal in the first inning. Taillon is lights out in the first and Kellar is just as good. Situationally you can’t ask for a better matchup. The Cubs are considerably worse on the road in the first inning and the Pirates are the second worst first inning team in the league. This is for four in a row. Let’s keep this shit going. I want another winner. I want to never lose. For Underia 🚇🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Taillon has only allowed 5 runs in 22 first innings
Keller has only allowed 9 runs in 25 first innings
Cubs average 0.40 first inning runs at home
Pirates average 0.34 first inning runs
