Record: 75-56-1 (+17.1 units)
Recap:
Loser. Shit pick. I tried my best not to let the overtime loss affect me but it did. I should have gone somewhere else. My mind was so fucked I should have gone with something I hate or even go with the second option knowing how fucked my mind was. Way too fast of a start and I knew I fucked it this game. Can’t have an under with 13 points in the first two minutes. Villanova was pushing the pace too early in the game and I knew it would be really hard to come back from it. The summary of the loss was really because of the pace and Villanova not slowing the pace down fast enough while also letting it be a competitive game for most of the first half. That’s it. I thought Villanova would slow it down and play FDU a little harder on defense but that didn’t happen since FDU hit the over on their team total. It only lost by 8 points so it really was the start that killed me. Back to back losses and I am in shambles. Fuck me. Fuck. Fuck. Fuck. Shit pick and I am distraught. The only thing that is keeping me optimistic is that now I have football tomorrow so hopefully I can redeem myself then.
Lock: Kyren Williams U73.5 Rushing Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
We are back to football. I know this seems lazy because I took this same pick a month ago but I love it. I love this spot and I love this line. Kyren is coming off of his biggest workload on a short week and that is perfect. His rushing yards line is very high when you compare it to his attempt line which I also love. I know he hit it in their first matchup but when you look at the game and see how they were able to come back late it was because they started throwing the ball. That game was also without Kupp and Puka so you have to think that those two are going to take plays away from Kyren this week especially after the workload he had last week. Corum has seen an increase in carries the past two games and on a short week where Kyren is coming off a 29 carry game I can see him getting more involved in the run game as well. 49ers have a solid run defense which we need here. I love this under. I love it. I love everything that I am seeing about it. I think it also shows how much I love it the fact I am coming back to a prop I have already taken which I rarely do. Give me this under. I need a winner bad. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U73.5 Rushing Yards in 4/L6 when he has under 18.5 carries
Averaging 71.3 Rushing Yards away from home this season
