Record: 83-68-1 (+13.2 units)
Recap:
Winner. I needed this so bad. A double unit sweat. It really shouldn’t have been a sweat but Penn State was being so moronic. The first touchdown I had expected to give up. I didn’t think Boise State was so incompetent that they wouldn’t get a single touchdown. The second touchdown though was because they left a guy wide open and that one killed me. I had to go the rest of the game without a TD. Thank God that did happen and I somehow got saved. A miraculous hands to the face penalty and then some turnovers and some red zones stops and I was saved. Boise State was trying to bend me over in the end. Why can’t a team lose with class? Thank God for that interception. I would have not seen 2025 if the under hit and I lost because of a dog shit garbage time touchdown. This shit really shouldn’t have been close. I was prepared to write how dumb and fucking stupid that Penn State coaching staff is. How the fuck do you dominate that first quarter running it down their throat and then give up on it for the rest of the game? How dumb are some of these coaches? This game could have been a 50+ blowout but for some fucking reason Penn State got away from the run and started to get cute with the play calling. I mean it was drive after drive of dumb play calling. They didn’t give their defense any rest because of the dumb play calling and it was killing me. I can’t complain about the defense because they did step up with some plays but I do have to mention that they gave up a 21+ Jeanty run on 3rd and 21. That was unbelievable. Two missed field goals and although that means less points I don’t think that really did much for this under. I deserved this one. Even though Jeanty and the game under was way easier I still won and I am still somehow alive to type this. I need to keep going. I need to keep this momentum going.
Lock: Cam Skattebo U105.5 Rushing Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I am going with a prop in the first game of the day. I looked at all of the games and loved this bet. If Jeanty only got 104 against Penn State how is Skattebo getting 106 against Texas? He isn’t as good as Jeanty and I don’t think Texas’s defense is better than Penn State’s but it is still an elite defense. I think in these playoff matchups we are recognizing that the biggest differences in the conferences is the trenches and if you are not in the Big 10 or SEC you are going to get dominated in the trenches. I think Texas takes a lead early and Skattebo doesn’t get many opportunities to run the ball. I also think that these two teams will have game plans to not have Skattebo run much. Texas knows if they stop the run they will most likely win this game since in both of ASU’s losses he stayed under 100. In Texas’ losses this season it hasn’t been because teams have ran on them but it has been because they have passed on them. Looking at last year’s loss to Washington too it was because of UW’s passing game. I love this spot. They are going to contain Cam’s running. I do think they give him the ball more in the air but they contain him running the football. I love this under. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Averages 2.5 YPC less on the road
Texas is the 11th best rush defense in the country
