Record: 87-69-2 (+15.8 units)
Recap:
Winner. A pretty fookin easy winner. Had a sketchy start with Houston shooting 100% in the first couple of minutes but then it was pretty easy. It started off hot and then it got slower and slower as the game went on. I felt Houston was playing slow but still slightly faster than usual but it didn’t matter. They played great defense and although TCU stayed in it in the first half they got blown out in the second half. TCU was really only able to score when they played in the half court which was perfect for this under. Not much to say about this winner. It paced perfectly after the first couple of minutes and it was a joy to watch after that. It almost feels like I am cheating taking an under with Houston because they play such great defense. Thank you Houston. Time for more.
Lock: Mississippi State/Vanderbilt U154.5 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
It is starting to set in that it is mostly college basketball here on out. We have a ranked team going into an unranked arena. I think this number is too high for this spot. Mississippi State is the better team that likes to play slower so they should slow down this game down. Vandy likes to play quick and I think Mississippi State is going to try and win this game by controlling pace. Mississippi State is also a much better rebounding team and think that helps them control the pace of this game. This game means too much for both of these teams to not play defense. Mississippi State is inside the rankings but I would say isn’t comfortably in the rankings so they need to win here. Vandy is just outside the rankings and need to win here to try and get in next week. There has to be solid defense by both of these teams. Both of these teams play good defense and I think we are going to get a lower scoring game tonight. This total is too high for how these teams have played each other in recent years as well. Both teams are hitting this over at way too high of clip compared to last year and we get some regression tonight. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Under in MSU’s 4/L5
Under in MSU’s 4/L6 played in January
Under in Vandy’s 5/L7
