Lunch Break Lock

Record: 90-71-2 (+16.5 units)

Recap:

Winner. Holy shit. What a fookin winner. I simultaneously don’t understand how this almost lost and how this won. Harbaugh pulled a Franklin at half and told his defense they can be dog shit in the second half. I mean it was looking pretty solid at halftime. Ravens scored 21 but the Steelers couldn’t do shit. Then in the second half the Ravens fell asleep on defense. Two bullshit Steelers touchdowns and I was sitting in shit headed in the fourth quarter. I needed a miracle fourth quarter and I FOOKIN GOT ONE. A scoreless fourth quarter and I was saved. I was shitting myself too because I got a dog shit line and wouldn’t have been sweating if I got it at 45.5. The Ravens had the perfect final drive after stopping the Steelers on fourth down. It went 5 yard gain after 5 yard gain and they killed the clock. It was magical. I can’t believe I survived that entire quarter without a point. I needed this win. I deserved this win with how perfect that first half went. Outside of those bullshit Steelers deep balls it was easy. I can’t believe this survived. Winner. Fookin Winner.

Lock: Broncos/Bills U48 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

We are going with the first game of the day. I think this number is too high. We have a rookie QB on the road in a cold and windy stadium. On the other side we have a team that doesn’t have many explosive players that can catch the ball. This all means an under. I think this is the perfect matchup for an under. We have a pretty talented Bills offense that likes to run the ball against the Broncos defense which is one of the best all around defenses in the league. The Broncos offense has fallen off a little the past month and I think this game may be too big for the rookie QB. The Bills defense is good not great but will be able to stop this Broncos offense. I know these teams are different this year but last year the Broncos were actually able to beat the Bills and the game ended under this number and I think that happens again today. They know how to beat Josh Allen and are going to try and replicate that game today. The Broncos defense is going to have to load the box which is fine since they have one of the best corners in the league and again the Bills don’t really have anyone explosive on the outside. All of this leads to a ground and pound low scoring type of game. I think this game is a lot closer than expected and we get this under. This was the best under of the day. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴

Unbiased Stats:

U48 in DEN/BUF 4/L5

Broncos average 7.6 points less on the road

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