Lunch Break Lock

*Giving you winners and a break from your shitty job* Record: 43-35

Nobody Cares Now Recap:

Cups of the rose.  Took a break. I had to after that loss. I was sliding. I couldn’t find a winner like I had in the regular season. That last bet with White he had one of his best games in his career. I had to stop. Got the brain refreshed. Quitting the NBA. I have to. I am holding a 11/1 Nuggets ticket and that is all I need to focus on right now. We transition into baseball. We focus up and find something to bet on. Maybe I start enjoying my life and begin to bet overs. Maybe just maybe.

Lock: Braves/Diamondbacks Over 4.5 F5 Innings

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I like the idea of starting to bet on baseball F5 innings. Less variability since you know the starter will stay in for the majority of those innings. And I don’t have to sweat the game for as long. We are starting with an over which I am usually not a fan of but I see a lot of value in this one. If it doesn’t work I will go back in tomorrow and find something else. Braves are the Braves and are one of the best F5 scoring teams in the league. The Diamondbacks on the other hand surprisingly have been pretty solid this year and are in the top 10 of scoring in the F5 too. Love it. Braves starter Strider who has a low ERA looks tough but he has not been great the past month which is great. Diamondbacks are throwing out some sort of rookie who can’t pitch too. Perfect combo. Please send some PLP.

Unbiased Stats:

Braves averaging 3.16 F5 runs this season

Braves averaging 3.50 F5 runs this season on the road

Strider had a 6.23 ERA against the Diamondbacks last season

Diamondbacks averaging 2.83 F5 runs this season

Diamondbacks averaging 2.94 F5 runs this season at home

Nelson has a 5.37 ERA this season

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