Record: 58-44-1 (+14.1 units)
Recap:
Loser. That was a shit pick. Not a bad pick it was a shit pick. The California kid stepped up I guess. It was also shit because Buffalo’s defense and especially the secondary was shit. I knew they weren’t great but I thought them against a freshman QB at home and with more time to prepare would have helped and it did not help at all. It almost seemed like they were the team not used to the cold. They couldn’t tackle for shit and couldn’t cover for shit. Leave it to me to get excited about the MAC and then I pick the one game that went over and scored 99 points. 99 points and to be honest I still wasn’t as far off as it should be with them scoring 48 points. Outside of a couple big plays and I was in this thing. I also thought that it wasn’t looking bad heading into the half because they had a lead and then he threw the pick six and I knew it was over. I don’t know if the MAC is good for Underia. I like betting it but I don’t know if Maction is built to help Underia. It is what it is I guess. Bad pick and a really bad one which seemed due. I was losing by bullshit and haven’t had a terrible one and this was it. Time to regroup and win tomorrow.
Lock: Nic Claxton U23.5 PRA 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I know I should maybe get away from going player props three days in a row but this is the one. I had to do it because I looked at the board and this was the bet that spoke to me. Claxton didn’t hit this in their first matchup this season. He hasn’t really been hitting it at all this season. The Celtics are coming off a loss and should be trying to bounce back. That’s starts by protecting the paint and not letting any offensive rebounds. I know Horford is out but that doesn’t matter because Queta is still going to be all over him. They are going to protect the rim and they are going to stop Claxton. His minutes have been lower this season and everything points to him going under. The Celtics got out rebounded last night and you know they aren’t going to allow that back to back nights. The game winning shot last night was off of an offensive rebound so they have to be all over Claxton. They are going to put a major emphasis on rebounding this game. It’s that simple. He isn’t hitting this. They are going to be all over him and limit his boards. That’s what’s going to happen. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U23.5 in 7/L10
Averaging 17 PRA in L3 vs Celtics
